TL
Taboola.com Ltd. (TBLA)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Strong execution: Q2 revenue $465.5M, ex-TAC gross profit $172.1M, and Adjusted EBITDA $45.2M all exceeded the high end of guidance; FY25 guidance raised across all key metrics .
- Quality of growth improved: ex-TAC GP grew 15.1% YoY (FX tailwind ~45 bps) driven by higher ad spend, mix shift to higher-margin publishers, Taboola News and Bidded Supply; Adjusted EBITDA margin expanded to 26.2% (+130 bps YoY) on cost discipline and infrastructure savings .
- Capital returns accelerated: ~12% of shares repurchased in 1H25; board authorized an incremental $200M, bringing total authorization to ~ $285M as of Aug 1; net cash ~$27M, revolver provides flexibility .
- Key stock catalysts: raised FY25 guide, improving profitability/FCF conversion, early traction from Realize (performance ads beyond native), and continued buybacks; watch ARPSA growth pace and China/tariff sensitivity .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
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What Went Well
- Beat-and-raise quarter: Revenue, ex-TAC GP, and Adjusted EBITDA all topped high end of guide; FY25 guidance lifted across revenue, gross profit, ex-TAC GP, Adjusted EBITDA, and Non-GAAP NI .
- Profitability mix improving: 15.1% ex-TAC GP growth on higher-margin publisher mix and contributions from Taboola News and Bidded Supply; margin expansion aided by lower server/network depreciation .
- Strategic momentum: Early traction from Realize with ~650 advertisers testing display/social since February; CEO: “We’re raising full-year guidance across the board…exciting early traction with Realize” .
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What Went Wrong
- ARPSA growth modest: Average revenue per scaled advertiser rose ~2% YoY; analysts flagged the low growth vs the strategic goal of expanding budgets from existing clients .
- China/tariff headwind: China-related spend had been a modest drag (~1% impact previously); management assumes no recovery in 2H25 despite slight recent improvement .
- GAAP EPS still negative: Diluted GAAP EPS remained ($0.01); non-GAAP profits positive, but GAAP net loss persisted at ($4.3M) .
Financial Results
Overall performance vs prior two quarters (oldest → newest):
Q2 2025 YoY growth vs Q2 2024:
Consensus vs actual (Q2 2025):
Values retrieved from S&P Global.
KPIs and metrics:
Drivers and mix commentary:
- ex-TAC GP growth driven by higher ad spend, shift to higher-margin digital property partners, Taboola News and Bidded Supply; partial favorable compare from Yahoo onboarding in the year-ago period .
- Gross profit benefited from cost actions, including reduced server/network depreciation following useful life reassessment .
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- CEO: “We delivered a strong second quarter, beating the high end of our guidance…raising full-year guidance across the board…seeing exciting early traction with Realize…We truly believe we're just getting started.”
- CEO on Realize: “Realize expands our reach beyond native…display and social…650 advertisers have already tested our new display and social capabilities since the February launch.”
- CEO on open web/LLMs: Minimal impact to date; only ~5% of company traffic from Google search; sees opportunity for LLM experiences on publisher sites creating new high-intent touchpoints .
- CFO: “Adjusted EBITDA margin was 26.2%, improved by 130 bps YoY…benefited from healthy ex-TAC growth and strong cost discipline…We ended Q2 with net cash ~$27.2M; $270M revolver provides significant liquidity.”
Q&A Highlights
- Path back to double-digit growth: Management pegs Realize as the primary lever to re-accelerate beyond the 3–5% FY growth embedded in FY25 guide; not yet in FY25 outlook .
- ARPSA debate: Analysts questioned modest +2% ARPSA; CFO notes mix effect from onboarding new scaled advertisers; considering “same-store” disclosure in the future .
- Open web durability vs AI search: CEO argues limited current impact and long-term opportunity from publisher-embedded LLMs elevating intent moments .
- China/tariffs: Slight recovery observed but not embedded in guidance; China ~5% of revenue, prior drag ~1% .
- Capital allocation: Company using revolver to run cash-neutral on average and prioritize buybacks; incremental $200M authorization secured .
Estimates Context
- Q2 2025: Revenue and Primary (non-GAAP) EPS both beat S&P Global consensus; revenue $465.5M vs $448.6M*; Primary EPS $0.096* vs $0.083* . Values retrieved from S&P Global.
- Implication: Estimate revisions likely skew positive on revenue and non-GAAP EPS; Adjusted EBITDA performance and raised FY guide should also support upward tweaks to FY25 profitability frameworks .
Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Beat-and-raise quarter with expanding profitability and strong FCF conversion; execution credibility improving .
- Mix shift and infrastructure optimization underpin margin expansion; these drivers appear durable into 2H25 .
- Realize is the medium-term growth call option; early traction across display/social broadens TAM beyond native; tangible KPI to track is growth in scaled advertisers and ARPSA acceleration .
- Unique supply (Taboola News, OEM lock screens) offers differentiated performance inventory as alternatives to search/social saturate .
- China remains a watch item; guidance prudently assumes no rebound despite slight recent improvement .
- Aggressive buybacks (12% in 1H25) and additional $200M authorization provide support; revolver gives flexibility with net cash position maintained .
- Near-term setup: Q3 guide implies continued stability; track estimate revisions post-raise and any disclosures on Realize monetization milestones .
Appendix: Current Guidance Detail
Q3 2025 and FY 2025 (as of Aug 6, 2025):
Management notes they cannot reconcile non-GAAP guidance to GAAP without unreasonable effort due to variability in items like share-based compensation and warrant valuations .